A Look Back at 2016
Last year was tough for the white metal, but from the start of 2016 silver prices started to surge. The gold-silver ratio was at its highest in the first two months of the year since February 2008.
At the end of last year, Impact Silver’s Huang expected to see “some light at the end of the tunnel for mining”.
He highlighted the fact that in the final months of 2015 investors, who had averaged down, saw hundreds of percent gains in the first few months of 2016.
“Finally the high risks many investors had taken on the last four years had started to pay off in spades and we praise their conviction in the tangible value of many undervalued mining companies,” he added.
The unexpected outcomes of Brexit and the US presidential election, left the world uncertain about what may happen in the future. This political and economical environment turned investors to precious metals as a safe haven.
Silver prices jumped over $20 an ounce for the first time in roughly two years, after the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, and outshined gold in the post-Brexit precious metals rally.
But after the US Presidential election, although metals rallied, silver lost roughly 10 percent by November 25.
Avino Silver & Gold’s Daley agreed that this year, silver prices were affected by the uncertainty in the markets created by the lead up to the Brexit vote and then the US election, which saw precious metals appreciate significantly.
“However, following the US election the prices for precious metals declined significantly which came as a big surprise to many in the industry,” Daley said.
The Year Ahead
What will happen in 2017 still remains to be determined, but proposed plans by incoming US President Trump could boost the metals market.
“With Trump in office we already saw strong demand for base metals and infrastructure materials. We can foreseeably expect more fluctuation and “Black Swan” events, like Brexit and Election 2016, that tend to be great for precious metals,” Huang said.
“It’s difficult to know what type of policies are actually going to be pursued by the Donald. That being said, Mr. Trump policies along with the Federal Reserve interest rate hike could be bad for gold and silver,” Daley said.
Trump has also promised massive taxpayer subsidized infrastructure projects along with lower taxes for corporations and the wealthy.
“It’s hard to imagine how he plans to pay for all of this with a significantly decreased tax base, meaning it’s definitely within the realm of possibilities that there will be more financial turmoil ahead which has historically been good for gold and silver,” he said.
Everything will unfold in January, once Trump takes office, “It will be interesting to watch safely from Canada the chaos that could follow south of the border after the inauguration,
“It will also be interesting to see if anything comes about as a result of the recent revelations around the fixing of the silver price which has been quite prevalent in the news lately,” he added.
His predictions for silver prices in 2017 range-bound between US$14 and US$20.
Source: Investing News